*Published with the generous permission of Simon Rosenberg. Read more of his important work on his Hopium substack.
By Simon Rosenberg
Tom Bonier and I sat down and talked polls, elections, data. For anyone wanting to do a deep dive on US politics it’s a great hour. Hope you enjoy it.
Here’s a link to some of the data and analyses we discuss. The bottom line on it all - since the spring of 2022 Dems keep overperforming in elections. Republicans awfulness and extremism has created an historic opportunity for us to expand and grow, and take demographic and geographic real estate away from them which is now available to us - or as I call it, get to 55 - as we’ve been doing in elections across the US this year.
Joe Biden is a good President. The country is better off. The Democratic Party is strong and keeps winning elections across the US. And they have Trump, MAGA, Dobbs, corruption, insurrection and treason. In every way imaginable we would much rather be us than them as we head into 2024.
Some Economic Data To Chew On - In the talk with Tom we discussed the need to go deeper on data than our commentators often do. I’ve written about how we need to rethink how we poll and talk about the economy. Let me show you what I mean with some data I pulled this morning from this weeks’ YouGov/Economist poll. All results are from registered voters.
Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way things are going in your life today? Satisfied 64%, Dissatisfied 35%
How happy would you say you are with your current job? Great deal/somewhat 80%, A little/not at all 19%.
Do you think your family income will increase or decrease in 2024? Increase 45%, stay the same 41%, decrease 15%.
Do you consider yourself paid fairly or underpaid in your job? Paid fairly 56%, Underpaid 38%.
So, not big angry, or dissatisfaction with life, work, income, and not an expectation that things will get worse next year. It’s consistent with this data I’ve been sharing in recent months showing that last year despite it all we had the highest job satisfaction ever recorded in one influential survey:
